Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1314
· median 1314
· range 1314–1314
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1168
Q3 1322
1392
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
